Our social networks are growing all the time. Can we assume that there is untapped economic that lies within them? I think this remains an as yet unproven but tantalising question.
At an organisational level, companies such as facebook and bebo achieve huge valuations based on their user numbers not on their revenues. But does this really make solid business sense? I suspect they are massively overvalued but not because the assumption is wrong to focus on user numbers, rather because newer, better designed networks will replace them and those users will migrate elsewhere.
Ambient relationship building
At an individual level, British anthropologist Robin Dunbar has shown us that people can only maintain up to around 150 strong relationships at any one time however we all have many more weak relationships (which probably also has an upper limit but it's certainly a lot larger number). I find social networks like facebook and twitter most interesting for the people I don't yet know that well - for the weak relationships. I get an insight into those people’s lives and how their mind works and get to know them a bit better.
This ambient relationship building can be useful in the longer term as you a) you may learn something about them that might be of use at a later date i.e. they are an expert in a field you need to know about or b) it eases the social lubricant when you next see them as you have more material to draw upon to build the relationship e.g. I saw the photo's of your recent fishing trip on facebook. How was it?
Network value potential
Metcalf's law which tells us that in (telecommunications) networks, the value of a network 'V' is proportional to the number of connections squared i.e. if the network doubles in size, its value quadruples.
Doing a ‘back of fag packet’ calculation based on my own social network I would estimate that my network of weak relationships has (conservatively) doubled thanks largely to social networks in the past 5 years which would result to a 56% increase in ‘network value potential’*. I suspect this type of increase would apply to many people I know and also to organisations as well. However most of this ‘increase in value potential’ remains untapped as we still don’t really know how to capitalise upon it properly.
Quantity verses quality
It definitely feels morally wrong and calculating to try to quantify your relationships – what about quality. I certainly hate ‘networking events’ where people are a bit too calculating and trying to sell you something as soon as you meet them without establishing any rapport or quality relationship. What I like about social networks is that in a small way, as I said earlier, you are building better quality relationships with lots of people ambiently and you never know when that might come in handy in the future.
Moving from 'what' to 'who'
As I've said previously (here) I believe that within the next 5 years we tend to create value not on the basis of our knowledge, but on the basis of how we can leverage our relationships or social networks to capitalise on the information that we all have access to. This will not be easy but I would argue that those unable to make the shift will be (or are being) left behind. Notwithstanding our own personal social networks, I’m most interested in how organisations can tap into their own organisational social networks and build value upon them. This poses major challenges for the traditional hierarchical organisations.
The jury is still out and many people and organisations are quite rightly sceptical about the economic value of connectedness. However for me it’s simply a case of the more connected you are, the more options and opportunities you have, and that has social, cultural and economic value.
*This 56% figure takes into account the fact that strong relationships are worth a lot more to me than weak relationships, I’ve assumed 10 times more important. I’ve assumed my number of strong ties remains constant at 150 but my weak relationships have doubled from 500 to 1000. I’m happy to show more detail behind this calculation if required.